Moon Kil Woong
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Playing ConocoPhillips At Earnings Time [View article]
Why Hedge Funds Love ConocoPhillips [View article]
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Some considerations to be noted. The drop in oil prices is not good for XOM although impacts them less than most because they pump oil cheaper than most anyone and don't go on exploration sprees that destroys their current value.
UPS will be affected by the post office crunch since most mail carriers actually use and depend on the postal services to carry out a vast majority of their mailing logistics.
GE hasn't really been that healthy after 2008 when its financing arm imploded. It had relied on very cheap subsidized lending to give it a competitive advantage. In the end it cost them dearly. They are now in need of a new plan and are pretty visionless (they need that light bulb more than the customer).
J&J has been racked with scandal from defective DePuy implants, children's Motrin and Tylenol that they knew was a health risk, to safety issues at their manufacturing sites. Management is spread too thin and can't keep their eyes on the ball save firefighting and acquiring even more businesses that need micromanaging which they can't do. Although J&J has been a good bellwether, past performance doesn't guarantee future success. I would not bet on them until they can prove they can run a healthcare based business without annual scandals.
Fundamental Factors Should Suppress Crude Prices Into 2012 [View article]
Noble Energy Becomes the Latest 'Victim' of the Shale Gas Ponzi Scheme [View article]
Noble Energy Becomes the Latest 'Victim' of the Shale Gas Ponzi Scheme [View article]
7 Deeply Undervalued Oil and Gas Stocks to Consider [View article]
Looking for Faith Amidst the Fear: The Bull Case for U.S. Stocks [View article]
Walmart has decent cash flow but way too much debt for a downturn.
Microsoft has decent cash and cash flow.
Apple has danced with death as sales can dry up, however its cash hoard is worth considering as a survivor worthy of buying after the fall.
Intel is in a cyclical industry turning down as with Kulicke and Soffa and Entropic, and that industry is capital intensive. Stay away.
COP is in oil which is dropping like a rock. It has cash but will suffer from revenue drops as the commodity its tied to drops.
Ratheon is involved with the military and government. I'd avoid it.
Brooks and the tech industry are not safe in a downturn and suffer more than the general market.
In short, most of these are dogs with fleas or have some clear and present danger. Kimberly Clark may be a buy if it falls too far and the same goes with Microsoft even though I tend to detest this stock as dead money. Dead money is better than lost money.
Playing the ConocoPhillips Breakup [View article]
I hope the days of pure refiners spun off from oil companies will be better and more competitive for the consumer, but I doubt it. A spin off by COP is good for all the above reasons. Sell them when they are hot and at $3.5 to 4 a gallon while a barrel of oil is below $100 I'm quite positive they are white hot right now. Would I buy the refiner from COP at this value? No way, especially now that Obama is starting to have regulators breathe down their necks to find out why so much ripping off is going on. It's like Enron shutting down supply to jack up prices but it's been going on for decades now.
Ultimate Guide to Gasoline Investing [View article]
LNG Export: A U.S. Natural Gas Game Changer? [View article]
Just One Stock: The Energy Firm Primed to Pump Onshore Shale Success [View article]
This one is interesting although I don't necessarily agree with the buy call. I think this stock will move in relation to energy prices namely oil. It's shift to shale and out of deepwater drilling was a good one given the BP fiasco so management has sense. However, I don't see a divorce from the buyers of this from oil. If oil slips below $100 the stock is sure to follow.
Althought, I wouldn't want to bet against oil betting for further rises is risky. U.S. oil and gasoline consumption has fallen as prices rise. MasterCard SpendingPulse said Tuesday that retail gasoline demand slipped for the fifth straight week when compared with the same period last year. SpendingPulse said gasoline purchases fell 3.6 percent to 64.3 million barrels for the week ended April 1. MasterCard analyst Jason Gamel pointed out that demand has been dropping as gasoline prices surged 31.7 cents since the end of February. QEII may expire solidifying the dollar at the cost of oil, and there is no real supply shortage as people in the know like Saudi Arabia knows. In fact, the main comment against Obama selling some strategic oil reserves was that there was no need because there was no shortage. Of course, they failed to tell him all he needs to say is they won't buy more oil above say $100 and prices will fall to it or below. You can always trust Washington insiders to tell people half truths to get what they want (keeping high oil prices for the oil industry).
Major Oil Companies' Exposure to Libya [View article]
However, it would also fundamentally shift energy demand away from oil for energy and maybe heralding the end to the oil dependence at which point there will be a giant oil glut. At least we could hope this to be true.
Major Oil Companies' Exposure to Libya [View article]